forthcoming, Journal of International Economics
 
 

Trade Disputes and the Implementation of Protection under the GATT:  An Empirical Assessment

Chad P. Bown
Brandeis University

Revised Version: June 2002

Abstract

        This paper is a first attempt to empirically determine why countries choose to violate or adhere to GATT rules when making trade policy adjustments between negotiating rounds. We use a previously unexploited set of data in which countries implemented two `types' of protection under the GATT system between 1973-1994: (i) 'legal' protection in which countries utilized the GATT's safeguards provisions, and (ii) 'illegal' protection in which the protection was provided outside of the safeguards provisions, resulting in a formal trade dispute. We find substantial evidence that concerns for retaliation affect government policy decisions in ways which contribute to the explanation of the existence of trade disputes.