Department of Economics
and International Business School
Brandeis University
P.O. Box 9110
415 South Street
Waltham MA 02454-9110

Sachar International Center, Room 126
(781) 736-2242

Introductory Information from the International Business School's main web site.

RePEc/IDEAS page

SSRN page

Google Scholar page

Curriculum Vitae

George J. Hall


Department of Economics

Brandeis University


"US Monetary, Financial, and Fiscal Priorities" (with Jonathan Payne, Balint Szoke, and Thomas Sargent) January 2024.

"Fiscal Consequences of the US War on COVID" (with Thomas Sargent) November 2023.

"Estimating Historical Yield Curves With Sparse Data" (with Jonathan Payne, Balint Szoke, and Thomas Sargent) July 2023.

"US Federal Debt 1776-1960: Prices and Quantities" (with Jonathan Payne, Thomas Sargent and Balint Szoke), updated August 2021.
"A Comparison of Discrete and Parameteric Approximation Methods for Continuous-State Dynamic Programming Problems" (with Hugo Benitez-Silva, Gunter Hitsch, Giorgio Pauletto, and John Rust), October 2000. This paper is preliminary and incomplete.

"An (S,s) Model of Commodity Price Speculation" (with John Rust), November 1999. [postscript file] [pdf file]


"Costs of Financing US Federal Debt Under a Gold Standard: 1791-1933" (with Jonathan Payne, Balint Szoke, and Thomas Sargent) accepted, Quarterly Journal of Economics.

"Review of Barry Eichengreen, Asma El-Gamainy, Rui Esteves, and Kris James Mitchener: In Defense of Public Debt " Business Economics, 2023.

"Financing Big US Federal Expenditures Surges: COVID-19 and Earlier US Wars" (with Thomas J. Sargent), chapter 10 in How Monetary Policy Got Behind the Curve -- And How to Get Back (editors Michael D. Bordo, John H. Cochrane, and John B. Taylor) Stanford, CA: Hoover, 2023.

"Three World Wars: Fiscal-Monetary Consequences" (with Thomas Sargent), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 119, No. 18, May 3, 2022, pp. e2200349119. "Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections" (with Thomas Sargent), chapter 27 of The Handbook of Historical Economics (editors Alberto Bison and Giovanni Federico), Academic Press, 2021.

"Estimation of Endogenously Sampled Time Series: The Case of Commodity Price Speculation in the Steel Market" (with John Rust), Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 22, Issue 1 Part A, May 2021. pp. 219-243.

"Complications for the United States from International Credits: 1913-1940" (with Thomas Sargent), chapter 1 of Debt and Entanglements Between the Wars (editor Era Dabla-Norris), IMF, 2019.
"Interest Rates and the Market for New Light Motor Vehicles" (with Adam Copeland and Louis Maccini), Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 51, Issue 5, August 2019, pp. 1137-1168.
"Brief History of US Debt Limits Before 1939 " (with Thomas Sargent), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 115, No. 12, March 2018, pp. 2942-2945.

"Fiscal Discrimination in Three Wars " (with Thomas Sargent), Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 61, January 2014, pp. 148-166.
"A Dynamic Model of Price Discrimination and Inventory Management at the Fulton Fish Market" (with Kathryn Graddy), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 80, No. 1, September 2011, pp. 6-19.

"Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post WW-II U.S. Government Debt/GDP Dynamics" (with Thomas Sargent), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Vol. 3, No. 3, July 2011, pp. 192-214. [web appendix] [data and Matlab code]
"Inventories and the Automobile Market" (with Adam Copeland and Wendy Dunn), RAND Journal of Economics, Vol. 42, No. 1, Spring 2011, pp. 121-149.

"The Response of Prices, Sales, and Output to Temporary Changes in Demand" (with Adam Copeland), Journal of Applied Econometrics , Vol. 26, No. 2, March 2011, pp. 232-269.

"The (S,s) Rule is an Optimal Trading Strategy in a Class of Commodity Price Speculation Problems" (with John Rust), Economic Theory, Vol. 30, No. 3, March 2007, pp. 515-538.

"Exchange Rates and Casualties During the First World War" Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 51, No. 8, November 2004, pp. 1711-1742. "Middle Men versus Market Makers: A Theory of Competitive Exchange" (with John Rust), Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 111, No. 2, April 2003, pp. 353-403.

"The Tax Smoothing Implications of the Federal Debt Paydown" (with Stefan Krieger), Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 31, 2000:2, pp. 253-302.

"Non-Convex Costs and Capital Utilization: A Study of Production Scheduling at Automobile Assembly Plants" Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 45, No. 3, August 2000, pp. 681-716.

"An Empirical Model of Inventory Investment by Durable Commodity Intermediaries" (with John Rust)
[postscript file] [pdf file] Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Vol. 52, No. 1, June 2000, pp. 171-214.

"Accounting for the Federal Government's Cost of Funds" (with Thomas J. Sargent) Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Economic Perspectives, July/August 1997, pp. 18-28.

"Overtime, Effort, and the Propagation of Business Cycle Shocks" Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 38, No. 1, August 1996, pp. 139-160.